Short Squeezes


DASHBOARD ARCHITECTURE & RATIONALE

The dashboard prioritises Execution Quality over raw volume to protect from wide bid-ask spreads.

Primary Columns:

  1. Short % (Gravity): Aggregate net short positions (>0.5%) sourced from FCA disclosures. Threshold: >3.0%.
  2. Days to Cover (Potential Energy): The "Fuel." Calculated as Total Shorts / 10-Day Avg Volume. Threshold: >2.0 Days.
  3. RSI (Kinetic Energy): The "Speedometer." Used to filter out over-extended moves. Threshold: <70.
  4. Daily Value Traded (DVT): The "Liquidity Gate." Replaces raw share volume to standardize liquidity across price points. Threshold: >£200k (ensures <2% Spread).
  5. 8 EMA % (Stretch): Percentage distance from the 8-day Exponential Moving Average. Used to quantify mean reversion risk

 

a proprietary "Master Indicator" to rank opportunities. The score balances the need to cover (Gravity + Fuel) against the risk of buying the top (Stretch).

The Logic:

"A perfect squeeze has high Short Interest and high Days to Cover, but is still trading close to its technical support (8 EMA) and is not stretched on the RSI ."

 

THE SQUEEZE SCANNER: VISUAL MECHANICS

To identify setups instantly, we deploy a Dynamic Bubble Plot that visualises the "Physics" of the trade.

Visual Protocol:

  • Y-Axis (Potential Energy): Days to Cover (DTC). Higher = More trapped shorts.
  • X-Axis (Kinetic Energy): RSI (14). Momentum health.
  • Bubble Size (Friction): DVT (£m). Larger bubbles = Safer execution.
  • Coloration: Diverging RSI Scale.
    • Green (Setting-UP ): RSI 30-50.
    • Amber (Squeeze-ON): RSI 50-70.
    • Red (Exhaustion): RSI > 70.

The "Zones" of Engagement:

  1. Ignition Zone (RSI 30-50): The "Coiled Spring." High DTC, low momentum. Accumulation phase.
  2. Squeeze Zone (RSI 50-70): The "Vacuum." Active institutional capitulation. Optimal entry
  3. Exhaustion Zone (RSI >70): The "Kickback." Price is over-extended. High risk of mean reversion.

 

 

Phase 1: The 08:15 Protocol

  • Rule: Ignore the 08:00 AM Open ("Tree Shake").
  • Action: Enter only after 08:15 AM if the Bid-Ask Spread is < 2%.
  • Trigger: Price breaks the Previous Day's High on volume > 10-Day Average.

Phase 2: Position Management (Legging-In)

  • Pilot: Open 50% position on trigger.
  • Leg-In: Add remaining 50% only if price holds the 8 EMA on a 1-hour close.
  • Stops: Initial stop at 21 EMA. Trail stop to 5 EMA if RSI > 75.

Phase 3: The Exit

  • Mean Reversion: Sell 50% if price deviates > 15% from the 200 SMA.
  • Trend Break: Close fully if price closes below the 8 EMA.