RNS Trading Mon 22 Sep 25 ELIX ITA ITM VANL

Daily RNS Catalyst Report

Date: 22 September 2025 | Generated by Catalyst-AI v2.5

Catalyst Summary

Full Company Analysis

ITM Power (ITM)

22 Sep 2025 07:00 UTC
ITM
Catalyst Score
+4.1
Direction
Bullish
Conviction Multiple conflicting signals or a low-impact event, leading to lower confidence in the outcome.
Low
Ambiguous

The primary catalyst is the new capacity reservation agreement with RWE for 150MW of its NEPTUNE V units. This is a positive operational milestone that signals repeat business and confidence from a major industrial partner. The agreement builds on an existing relationship, providing a degree of validation for ITM's technology and delivery capability. However, the market reaction may be tempered by the fact that these are reservations with call-offs expected by 2027, not yet firm orders, leaving some uncertainty on the exact timing and conversion. The stock is technically positive (Score: 4), suggesting the news arrives into a period of strengthening momentum.

Four Pillar Analysis

PILLAR 1: COMMERCIAL & CONTRACTUAL MOMENTUM

Positive momentum demonstrated by the 150MW capacity reservation agreement with a key existing partner, RWE.

PILLAR 2: STRATEGIC & OPERATIONAL TRAJECTORY

The agreement validates the commercial traction of the new NEPTUNE V platform, a key part of the company's strategic product roadmap.

PILLAR 3: REGULATORY & POLICY LANDSCAPE

The deal operates within a supportive landscape for green hydrogen projects, but is not directly driven by a specific new policy.

PILLAR 4: FINANCIAL & MARKET SENTIMENT

While not a firm order, the reservation enhances future revenue visibility and strengthens market confidence in the company's order pipeline.

Technicals

Technically positive (Score: 4). The stock is trading slightly above its 200-day SMA (0.43%) and has shown recent strength with an 11.7% gain over the last 5 days. The RSI at 61.5 is strengthening but not yet overbought, indicating positive momentum.

Key Metrics

INDICATORS
61.5RSI
4Bull Score
PRICE RELATIVE TO MOVING AVERAGES
8-day
4.0%
21-day
5.7%
50-day
4.5%
200-day
42.7%
KEY METRICS
52 Week High
94
Close Price
71.35
52 Week Low
25.62
Mkt Cap (£m)
435.6
Fwd P/E
N/A
Broker Upside
86.1%
Short Interest
3.71%
Days to Cover
10.0
Daily Value Traded (£)
1,050,013

Ilika (IKA)

22 Sep 2025 07:00 UTC
IKA
Catalyst Score
+1.0
Direction
Neutral
Conviction Multiple conflicting signals or a low-impact event, leading to lower confidence in the outcome.
Low
Ambiguous

This announcement is a minor positive execution milestone, confirming the start of the previously announced PRIMED programme. The involvement of Jaguar Land Rover and Oxford University as strategic support adds credibility but does not represent a firm commercial commitment. The core value driver for Ilika remains the successful scaling and commercialisation of its Goliath battery technology, and this is a small, incremental step on that path. The stock is technically neutral (Score: 0), trading significantly below its 52-week high, and this news is unlikely to be a major catalyst for a trend reversal.

Four Pillar Analysis

PILLAR 1: COMMERCIAL & CONTRACTUAL MOMENTUM

No new commercial agreements. The programme involves strategic support from JLR, which is a positive signal but not a contract.

PILLAR 2: STRATEGIC & OPERATIONAL TRAJECTORY

The commencement of the PRIMED programme is an on-track execution milestone, progressing the company's strategy to commercialise its Goliath technology.

PILLAR 3: REGULATORY & POLICY LANDSCAPE

The programme is supported by the Advanced Propulsion Centre UK (APC), highlighting alignment with UK industrial strategy for battery technology.

PILLAR 4: FINANCIAL & MARKET SENTIMENT

Sentiment remains weak given the stock's performance. This news provides a minor positive data point but is unlikely to shift broader market sentiment significantly.

Technicals

Technically neutral (Score: 0). The stock is trading just above its 200-day SMA (0.03%) but remains significantly below its 52-week high (-25.5%). The RSI at 52 is neutral, suggesting a lack of strong directional momentum.

Key Metrics

INDICATORS
52RSI
0Bull Score
PRICE RELATIVE TO MOVING AVERAGES
8-day
-1.5%
21-day
-3.4%
50-day
-10.5%
200-day
2.9%
KEY METRICS
52 Week High
51
Close Price
38
52 Week Low
14.75
Mkt Cap (£m)
68.7
Fwd P/E
N/A
Broker Upside
20.4%
Short Interest
N/A%
Days to Cover
N/A
Daily Value Traded (£)
45,005

Elixirr International (ELIX)

22 Sep 2025 07:01 UTC
ELIX
Catalyst Score
+9.1
Direction
Bullish
Conviction Strong quantitative and qualitative alignment.
High
Definitive

Elixirr has released two significant announcements: strong interim results and the acquisition of TRC Advisory. The primary catalyst is the exceptional financial performance detailed in the interim results, with 35% revenue growth (17% organic) and a 42% increase in adjusted EBITDA, significantly outperforming a weak consulting market. This is further bolstered by the simultaneous announcement of the strategic, immediately earnings-enhancing acquisition of TRC Advisory. The combination of a significant earnings beat and an accretive acquisition represents a powerful positive catalyst. However, the stock is technically overbought (RSI: 82.4) after a strong run, which has tempered the final score. The aggregate analysis points to a very strong positive market reaction, reflecting the dual catalysts of exceptional organic growth and strategic expansion.

Four Pillar Analysis

PILLAR 1: COMMERCIAL & CONTRACTUAL MOMENTUM

Exceptional momentum, with a 78% growth in cross-sell revenue and an increase in £1m+ clients from 22 to 31.

PILLAR 2: STRATEGIC & OPERATIONAL TRAJECTORY

The acquisition of TRC Advisory is a major strategic step, significantly scaling the US presence and adding new capabilities, aligning with the company's M&A-led growth strategy.

PILLAR 3: REGULATORY & POLICY LANDSCAPE

The successful transition from AIM to the Main Market enhances the company's profile and access to capital, a positive strategic move.

PILLAR 4: FINANCIAL & MARKET SENTIMENT

Extremely strong financial results, with significant beats on revenue and profit metrics. The acquisition is immediately earnings-enhancing, which should be very well-received by the market.

Technicals

Technically strong (Score: 11). The stock is in a powerful uptrend, trading near its 52-week high with significant price gains across all timeframes. The RSI at 82.4 is deeply in overbought territory, which signals strong momentum but also raises the risk of a short-term pullback.

Key Metrics

INDICATORS
82.4RSI
11Bull Score
PRICE RELATIVE TO MOVING AVERAGES
8-day
2.7%
21-day
7.9%
50-day
13.8%
200-day
12.9%
KEY METRICS
52 Week High
872
Close Price
849
52 Week Low
575
Mkt Cap (£m)
405
Fwd P/E
17
Broker Upside
N/A
Short Interest
N/A%
Days to Cover
N/A
Daily Value Traded (£)
855,761

Van Elle Holdings (VANL)

22 Sep 2025 07:00 UTC
VANL
Catalyst Score
-4.9
Direction
Bearish
Conviction Quantitative or qualitative factors suggest a clear direction, but with some counter-indicators.
Medium
Balanced

The primary catalyst is a profit warning, with the company stating that full-year trading and profitability are expected to be materially below market expectations. This is a significant negative event, driven by a failure of the expected improvement in trading conditions to materialise. While the company points to a strong order book, the market's immediate focus will be on the sharp deterioration in the current year's forecast. The stock is already technically weak (Score: -4) and deeply oversold (RSI: 13), which provides a minor cushion (QCM-M2 triggered), but the negative sentiment from a profit warning is the dominant factor and is expected to drive the share price lower.

Four Pillar Analysis

PILLAR 1: COMMERCIAL & CONTRACTUAL MOMENTUM

Momentum is weak. Despite a growing order book (£47.3m), the company explicitly states that contract starts are being delayed.

PILLAR 2: STRATEGIC & OPERATIONAL TRAJECTORY

The company's operational performance is challenged by the external environment, with the expected improvement in core sectors yet to materialise.

PILLAR 3: REGULATORY & POLICY LANDSCAPE

Delays are partly attributed to Building Safety Act ('BSA') approvals, indicating a negative impact from the current regulatory environment on project timelines.

PILLAR 4: FINANCIAL & MARKET SENTIMENT

Sentiment is now firmly negative due to the profit warning. The market will likely discount the positive medium-term outlook until tangible signs of a recovery in trading emerge.

Technicals

Technically weak (Score: -4). The stock is in a severe downtrend, having fallen 19.5% in the last 5 days and trading 25.3% below its 250-day high. The RSI of 13 indicates the stock is deeply oversold, which could lead to a short-term bounce, but the overall trend is firmly negative.

Key Metrics

INDICATORS
13RSI
-4Bull Score
PRICE RELATIVE TO MOVING AVERAGES
8-day
-2.6%
21-day
-6.2%
50-day
-7.5%
200-day
-3.5%
KEY METRICS
52 Week High
44.2
Close Price
33
52 Week Low
32
Mkt Cap (£m)
35.7
Fwd P/E
8.8
Broker Upside
N/A
Short Interest
N/A%
Days to Cover
N/A
Daily Value Traded (£)
30,168
```

Daily RNS Catalyst Report

Date: 22 September 2025 | Generated by runprofits.com

Catalyst Summary

Full Company Analysis

ITM Power (ITM)

22 Sep 2025 07:00 UTC
ITM
Catalyst Score
+4.1
Direction
Bullish
Conviction Low conviction: The catalyst's impact is uncertain or depends on many external factors.
Low
Ambiguous

The primary catalyst is the new capacity reservation agreement with RWE for 150MW of its NEPTUNE V units. This is a positive operational milestone that signals repeat business and confidence from a major industrial partner. The agreement builds on an existing relationship, providing a degree of validation for ITM's technology and delivery capability. However, the market reaction may be tempered by the fact that these are reservations with call-offs expected by 2027, not yet firm orders, leaving some uncertainty on the exact timing and conversion. The stock is technically neutral (Score: 4), trading just above its 200-day SMA, suggesting the news arrives without strong pre-existing momentum.

Four Pillar Analysis

PILLAR 1: COMMERCIAL & CONTRACTUAL MOMENTUM

Positive momentum demonstrated by the 150MW capacity reservation agreement with a key existing partner, RWE.

PILLAR 2: STRATEGIC & OPERATIONAL TRAJECTORY

The agreement validates the commercial traction of the new NEPTUNE V platform, a key part of the company's strategic product roadmap.

PILLAR 3: REGULATORY & POLICY LANDSCAPE

The deal operates within a supportive landscape for green hydrogen projects, but is not directly driven by a specific new policy.

PILLAR 4: FINANCIAL & MARKET SENTIMENT

While not a firm order, the reservation enhances future revenue visibility and strengthens market confidence in the company's order pipeline.

Technicals

Technically positive (Score: 4). The stock is trading slightly above its 200-day SMA (0.43%) but has shown recent strength with a 13.5% gain over the last 5 days. The RSI at 58.9 is neutral, indicating no immediate overbought or oversold pressure.

Key Metrics

INDICATORS
58.9RSI
4Bull Score
PRICE RELATIVE TO MOVING AVERAGES
8-day
+5.8%
21-day
+6.5%
50-day
+4.1%
200-day
+43.2%
KEY METRICS
52 Week High
94
Close Price
69.8
52 Week Low
25.62
Mkt Cap (£m)
430.1
Fwd P/E
N/A
Broker Upside
88.0%
Short Interest
3.71%
Days to Cover
10.0
Daily Value Traded (£)
1049869

Ilika (IKA)

22 Sep 2025 07:00 UTC
IKA
Catalyst Score
+1.0
Direction
Neutral
Conviction Low conviction: The catalyst's impact is uncertain or depends on many external factors.
Low
Ambiguous

This announcement is a minor positive execution milestone, confirming the start of the previously announced PRIMED programme. The involvement of Jaguar Land Rover and Oxford University as strategic support adds credibility but does not represent a firm commercial commitment. The core value driver for Ilika remains the successful scaling and commercialisation of its Goliath battery technology, and this is a small, incremental step on that path. The stock is technically weak (Score: -1), trading significantly below its 52-week high, and this news is unlikely to be a major catalyst for a trend reversal.

Four Pillar Analysis

PILLAR 1: COMMERCIAL & CONTRACTUAL MOMENTUM

No new commercial agreements. The programme involves strategic support from JLR, which is a positive signal but not a contract.

PILLAR 2: STRATEGIC & OPERATIONAL TRAJECTORY

The commencement of the PRIMED programme is an on-track execution milestone, progressing the company's strategy to commercialise its Goliath technology.

PILLAR 3: REGULATORY & POLICY LANDSCAPE

The programme is supported by the Advanced Propulsion Centre UK (APC), highlighting alignment with UK industrial strategy for battery technology.

PILLAR 4: FINANCIAL & MARKET SENTIMENT

Sentiment remains weak given the stock's performance. This news provides a minor positive data point but is unlikely to shift broader market sentiment significantly.

Technicals

Technically weak (Score: -1). The stock is in a long-term downtrend, trading 29.4% below its 250-day high. Recent price action is flat, and the RSI at 38.4 is weak but not oversold. The technical picture suggests a lack of positive momentum.

Key Metrics

INDICATORS
38.4RSI
-1Bull Score
PRICE RELATIVE TO MOVING AVERAGES
8-day
-114.0%
21-day
N/A
50-day
N/A
200-day
+3.2%
KEY METRICS
52 Week High
51
Close Price
36
52 Week Low
14.75
Mkt Cap (£m)
65.1
Fwd P/E
N/A
Broker Upside
21.6%
Short Interest
N/A%
Days to Cover
N/A
Daily Value Traded (£)
45004

Elixirr International (ELIX)

22 Sep 2025 07:01 UTC
ELIX
Catalyst Score
+17.6
Direction
Bullish
Conviction High conviction: The catalyst is very likely to have a significant and direct impact on the stock.
High
Definitive

Elixirr has released two significant announcements: strong interim results and the acquisition of TRC Advisory. The primary catalyst is the exceptional financial performance detailed in the interim results, with 35% revenue growth (17% organic) and a 42% increase in adjusted EBITDA, significantly outperforming a weak consulting market. This demonstrates strong underlying momentum and successful integration of past acquisitions. This is further bolstered by the simultaneous announcement of the acquisition of TRC Advisory, a fast-growing US consultancy. This move adds scale, enhances US presence, and is expected to be immediately earnings-enhancing. The combination of a significant earnings beat and a strategic, accretive acquisition represents a powerful positive catalyst. The stock's strong technicals (Score: 10) and high peer surprise score (1.5) confirm the market is likely to view this dual announcement very favourably.

Four Pillar Analysis

PILLAR 1: COMMERCIAL & CONTRACTUAL MOMENTUM

Exceptional momentum, with a 78% growth in cross-sell revenue and an increase in £1m+ clients from 22 to 31.

PILLAR 2: STRATEGIC & OPERATIONAL TRAJECTORY

The acquisition of TRC Advisory is a major strategic step, significantly scaling the US presence and adding new capabilities, aligning with the company's M&A-led growth strategy.

PILLAR 3: REGULATORY & POLICY LANDSCAPE

The successful transition from AIM to the Main Market enhances the company's profile and access to capital, a positive strategic move.

PILLAR 4: FINANCIAL & MARKET SENTIMENT

Extremely strong financial results, with significant beats on revenue and profit metrics. The acquisition is immediately earnings-enhancing, which should be very well-received by the market.

Technicals

Technically strong (Score: 10). The stock is in a clear uptrend, trading near its 52-week high and showing strong momentum with a 14% gain over the last 10 days. The RSI at 80 is in overbought territory, which could temper the immediate upside, but the overall technical picture is very positive.

Key Metrics

INDICATORS
80RSI
10Bull Score
PRICE RELATIVE TO MOVING AVERAGES
8-day
+4.1%
21-day
+9.0%
50-day
+14.2%
200-day
+13.0%
KEY METRICS
52 Week High
872
Close Price
832
52 Week Low
575
Mkt Cap (£m)
396.9
Fwd P/E
17
Broker Upside
N/A
Short Interest
N/A%
Days to Cover
N/A
Daily Value Traded (£)
831724

Van Elle Holdings (VANL)

22 Sep 2025 07:00 UTC
VANL
Catalyst Score
-5.5
Direction
Bearish
Conviction Medium conviction: The catalyst is likely to have an impact, but there are some counter-arguments or uncertainties.
Medium
Balanced

The primary catalyst is a profit warning, with the company stating that full-year trading and profitability are expected to be materially below market expectations. This is a significant negative event, driven by a failure of the expected improvement in trading conditions to materialise, citing spending constraints and project delays. While the company points to a strong order book (£47.3m) and a positive medium-term outlook, the market's immediate focus will be on the sharp deterioration in the current year's forecast. The stock is already technically weak (Score: -1) and oversold (RSI: 22.1), which may provide some cushion (QCM-M2 triggered), but the negative sentiment from a profit warning typically overrides technical factors in the short term.

Four Pillar Analysis

PILLAR 1: COMMERCIAL & CONTRACTUAL MOMENTUM

Momentum is weak. Despite a growing order book (£47.3m), the company explicitly states that contract starts are being delayed.

PILLAR 2: STRATEGIC & OPERATIONAL TRAJECTORY

The company's operational performance is challenged by the external environment, with the expected improvement in core sectors yet to materialise.

PILLAR 3: REGULATORY & POLICY LANDSCAPE

Delays are partly attributed to Building Safety Act ('BSA') approvals, indicating a negative impact from the current regulatory environment on project timelines.

PILLAR 4: FINANCIAL & MARKET SENTIMENT

Sentiment is now firmly negative due to the profit warning. The market will likely discount the positive medium-term outlook until tangible signs of a recovery in trading emerge.

Technicals

Technically weak (Score: -1). The stock is in a clear downtrend, trading 16.3% below its 250-day high. The RSI of 22.1 indicates the stock is in oversold territory, which could lead to a short-term bounce, but the overall trend remains negative.

Key Metrics

INDICATORS
22.1RSI
-1Bull Score
PRICE RELATIVE TO MOVING AVERAGES
8-day
N/A
21-day
N/A
50-day
N/A
200-day
N/A
KEY METRICS
52 Week High
44.2
Close Price
37
52 Week Low
32
Mkt Cap (£m)
40
Fwd P/E
8.8
Broker Upside
N/A
Short Interest
N/A%
Days to Cover
N/A
Daily Value Traded (£)
30167
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