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Daily Datum Mon 21 Nov 22 06:30

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Oil at Key Support Trend Line -9% in a Week: Will it Bounce?

FTSE 100 , futures -15 on cash as the US ended last week largely in green led by the DOW with Healthcare, Consumer Defensives and  Utilities outperforming

Friday's price action saw the FTSE250 catching a bid off the 8EMA which is bullish the uptrend while the AIM All Share similar found support around the 8 EMA

The big week loser was oil down 9% in 5 days and at a key support level back to the Feb '22 breakout . This trendline looks to be holding for now  but was pierced on Friday: we may yet see weakness down to the $82/200 month MA: one to watch for a tactical trade

I have been watching gold waiting for a deeper pullback to add to my current long (or an extended run to $1800 to take profits): Gold has indeed blown off some more  steam and come back to the 8 EMA around $1745. Will watch for some support here to renew the uptrend or further weakness to the 21EMA around $1702 with an overshoot to $1700 to check for support.

 

Oil at Key Trend Line : Weakness Suggest a Check of the $82 Level May be on the Cards

chart below shows oil as  of 0630 finding support at the trendlien tracing back to the Feb '22  Ukraine war  breakout. Previous tests of this level have held and given the recent drops of over 12% in 10 trading days we may see a relief rally to the 5EMA at $89: given the broader weakness, there is downside risk to test the $82.

Dollar Index at Support around $107

Gold Tracing the 8EMA May Look to $1702 and the 21EMA Before Continuing Uptrend

Market Dashboard and Sentiment:

VIX  drops to 23 supporting risk on

 

 

US Heatmap as of Close Friday 18 Nov 22

 

Econ Calendar

Today's economic calendar   RGerman PPI at 0700

 

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